Will Trump go to war with Iran? - The Latest

In this episode of Today in Focus, host Lucy Hough speaks with Patrick Wintour, The Guardian's diplomatic editor, about the escalating situation in Iran as protests continue, with over 500 people reported dead and more than 10,000 arrests. Despite the Iranian regime claiming control over the protests, the violence has led to diminished turnout. The episode highlights the difficulties in accurately assessing the number of demonstrators and incidents due to state propaganda and limited media access.

With Donald Trump considering intervention if protesters are harmed, the discussion shifts to potential military and communication strategies. Ideas include enhancing satellite communication for protesters and the possibility of targeted military actions against Iranian leadership. Wintour reflects on the complexities of such military operations in densely populated areas like Tehran where collateral damage is a concern.

They also discuss the regime's preparations to protect key figures such as the Supreme Leader, who is aging and not in good health. There is uncertainty around how diplomatic channels are being utilized amidst the chaos, especially in light of grievances over Iran's nuclear program. Concerns are raised about the efficacy of intervention and whether the opposition in the diaspora is prepared to seize power, given their divisions and differing views about leadership.

The episode concludes with the recognition of the deep-rooted issues in Iran, particularly economic crises, and the delicates balance the U.S. must strike in deciding on interventions while considering the potential backlash and implications for the Iranian opposition.